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BQC Afternoon Comments May 21.2025

Weekly Export Sales Estimates (MT)

 

Sales 24/25

Est Range

Sales 25/26

Est Range

Wheat

_______

(200K)-100K

_______

300K-700K

Corn

_______

700K-1.6M

_______

50K-500K

Beans

_______

100K-300K

_______

90K-400K

Meal

_______

100K-400K

_______

0-50K

Soyoil

_______

0-22K

_______

0-10K

EIA Weekly Ethanol Production

For week ending 05/16/2025

Ethanol Production increased 13 million gallons week over week. Total weekly production was reported at 7.252M barrels. It was still lower than the average needed each week to meet the USDA’s estimate.

EIA Weekly Ethanol Stocks

Ethanol Stocks were lower last week to hit a 19 week low at 24.944 million barrels. Still, much higher than the 5-year average of 22.6M barrels and marking an ATH for this week of the year. 

EIA Weekly Implied Corn Usage

CALENDAR SPREAD

Spread

Last

Chg

Full

% of FC

CN25/CU25

18 1/4

-1   

 

 

CU25/CZ25

-12 3/4

 +1/2

-31 1/4

41%

SN25/SQ25

3 3/4

+1   

 

 

SQ25/SX25

6 3/4

-2 1/2

 

 

SN25/SX25

10 1/2

-1 1/2

 

 

MWN25/MWU25

-12 3/4

– 1/4

-20 3/4

61%

WN25/WU25

-14 1/2

– 3/4

-16 1/4

89%

KWN25/KWU25

-14 1/4

– 1/2

-16   

89%

COST OF CARRY

 
 

Daily Trading Limits: Corn $0.30 (expanded $0.45); Soybeans $0.85 (expanded $1.30); Minneapolis Wheat $0.60 (expanded $0.90); KC Wheat $0.40 (expanded $0.60); Chicago Wheat $0.40 (expanded $0.60)

Futures Settlements & Technicals

Symbol

Close

Chg

High

Low

Support

Resist

20-Day

50-Day

CN25

461   

+6 1/2

462   

453 1/2

442   

470   

459 1/4

468 1/4

CU25

442 3/4

+7 1/2

443 1/2

435   

415   

450   

433 1/2

440 1/2

SN25

1062 3/4

+9 3/4

1067 1/2

1052 3/4

1045   

1085   

1055   

1040   

SQ25

1059   

+8 3/4

1063 1/2

1049 1/2

1040   

1080   

1050 1/4

1035 1/2

SX25

1052 1/4

+11 1/4

1056 3/4

1041   

1020   

1065   

1035   

1023   

MWN25

604 1/4

+6 1/2

611   

597   

605   

610   

595 1/4

606 1/4

MWU25

617   

+6 3/4

623   

610 1/4

600   

620   

608 1/4

619 1/2

WN25

549 1/4

+3 1/4

556 1/4

545   

530   

550   

532   

548 3/4

WU25

563 3/4

+4   

570 1/2

559   

545   

565   

546 1/2

564   

KWN25

540 1/2

+4 1/4

547 3/4

535 1/4

530   

561   

530   

561   

KWU25

554 3/4

+4 3/4

561 1/2

549 1/2

544 1/2

575 1/2

544 1/4

575 1/2

SMN25

294.1

+1.50

294.4

291.5

290.00

300.00

295.00

299.50

BON25

49.83

+0.33

50.30

49.5

47.50

52.00

49.50

47.06

>>Interested in more commentary by Joe Mauck?  Go HERE

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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