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West Texas Still Looks Dry

COTTON

July cotton broke out to the upside yesterday and the buying pushed the market up to the highest level since March 23. The 5-day forecast calls for some rains for much of Texas except northern and western Texas, a key growing area. The 6-10 day forecast call for above normal precipitation in Texas, but below-normal conditions return in the 8-14 day. This keeps the drought conditions there front-of-mind.

COCOA

With the flare-up of new COVID cases and fresh lockdown measure in the region, it was little surprise that Europe had a negative year-over-year quarterly grindings result. With that in the market’s rear-view and potentially more positive demand reading on the horizon, cocoa can sustain upside momentum in front of critical data points late today and early Friday.

COFFEE

Coffee prices have been able to maintain upside momentum for most of April so far and have recovered more than half of their February/April pullback. With a bullish supply outlook providing underlying support, fresh signs that near-term demand is improving should fuel a retest of the late February highs.

SUGAR

While sugar received a significant boost from its key outside markets, its main source of underlying support has been a bullish shift in the global supply outlook. If global risk sentiment can see some improvement, sugar may head for a retest of its late February highs.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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