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Supply Pressures Outweighing Geopolitics

CRUDE OIL

January Crude Oil edged lower early Tuesday following a sharp selloff on Monday that came despite slow progress in Russia/Ukraine peace talks. The fact that Iraq managed to restore production at Lukoil’s West Qurna 2 oilfield, one of the world’s largest, after a leak on an export pipeline slashed its output, points to stronger supply ahead. The field has an output of around 460,000 barrels per day and accounts for about 0.5% of world oil supply and 9% of total output in Iraq.

 

Alaska pipeline

 

PRODUCTS

The products are lower today in line with crude oil.

NATURAL GAS

January Natural Gas is down for the second straight day as the market reconsiders how much the current wave of cold weather will tighten situation this year. The market left a spike high on Friday that has the look of a blow-off top. The 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts show a moderation in the current cold pattern, but below normal temps will stick around in the Great Lakes and New England.

 

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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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