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Supply Chain Bottlenecks in Cocoa

COCOA

From last Wednesday’s close, cocoa price have lost nearly 150 points in value (down 5.6%) as post-earnings comments from the major US chocolate maker Hershey indicated that they were unable to fully meet increasing demand due to supply chain bottlenecks and capacity constraints.

COFFEE

Coffee prices continue to have trouble maintaining upside momentum, but they are finding underlying support from bullish supply factors. With positive global risk sentiment improving the near-term demand outlook, coffee remains on-course for a retest of their mid-October highs.

COTTON

December cotton closed sharply lower on the session yesterday, and the key reversal from an extremely overbought level and after hitting a key upside swing target suggests a short-term peak is in place. US export sales have been active, but world production has staged a significant comeback this year, but so has demand.

SUGAR

Sugar prices have started November with a positive tone and are lifting further away from their mid-October lows. As long as global risk sentiment and key outside markets continue to improve, sugar can extend this week’s recovery move. A pullback in crude oil prices weighed on the sugar market early in the day as that could weaken ethanol demand in Brazil and India.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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