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Slower Economy May Slow Demand

COCOA

December Cocoa experienced a key weekly reversal last week after posting a contract high on Wednesday. With the possibility of a Covid-related setback in demand, and continued strong production news, the market appears poised for a further decline. For the week, December cocoa finished with a loss of 53 points (down 2.0%) which broke a 3-week winning streak.

COFFEE

Coffee’s 16.00 cent trading range during August so far is a fraction of its whipsaw action during the second half of July. A bullish supply outlook continues to underpin the market. For the week, December coffee finished with a loss of 4.25 cents (down 2.3%) and a third negative weekly result over the past 4 weeks.

COTTON

December cotton fell to its lowest level since August 12 on Friday but recovered to closed higher on the day and the market bounced overnight. Still, it was the first weekly decline in a month. The dollar turned lower on the session Friday after trading to a new high for the move, and this lent support to cotton.

SUGAR

While the sugar market is extremely overbought technically, the supply fundamentals continue to show a bullish tilt. The worst drought in 50 years and recent frost damage in Brazil’s Central-South region could keep sugar’s supply outlook on a bullish track going forward.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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