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Mexico Cancelling Pork From Spain

MORNING LIVESTOCK FUTURES OUTLOOK

CATTLE COMPLEX

For 2 years live cattle futures were bull spread and were a strong indicator that cattle were in a bull market.  On October 27th, bull spreads peaked and since have reversed.  Going forward watch the spreads.  Was the November reversal just speculators or are spreads indicating the bull market is over and cattle prices are going down.

Compared to last week, steers and heifers were too thinly tested to establish a trend, however a lower undertone was noted at early week sales and higher at later week sales.

 

eSignal Lean Hog open interest chart on 12.3.25

 

LEAN HOG COMPLEX

Mexico has banned all pork products and the importing of any breeding stock from Spain due to the outbreak of African swine fever. In 2025 Mexico increased pork imports from Spain and now cancelling pork from Spain will likely increase US pork exports to Mexico.

 

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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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