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Lukewarm Demand for Coffee

COFFEE

Coffee has been dealing with lukewarm global demand since the start of the pandemic, as the prospect of additional restaurant and retail shop closings in Europe will be source of pressure. Uncertainties for the flowering period has helped the market find support. Colombian production has fallen below a 14 million bag annualized pace and has only had 2 out of 9 months this year when their monthly output came in above the previous year’s total.

COCOA

The market may have found a short-term low. While global demand concerns will remain a front and center issue, cocoa is finding carryover support from key outside markets as well as near-term bullish supply news that can help the market bounce. Reports of new lockdowns in several European nations weighed on prices early in the day as that region accounts for more than 30% of global cocoa processing without a domestic source for cocoa beans.

COTTON

December cotton traded to its highest level since February 25 as the USDA report may show tightening supply and the short-term weather forecast remains bullish. Traders seem to be getting increasingly concerned about the expected arrival of Hurricane Delta along the Gulf coast later this week.

SUGAR

Sugar’s upside breakout move has come with little carryover support from its key outside markets as a bullish shift in Brazilian weather has become a significant source of strength. Given most of Brazil’s near-term supply glut is likely to go into the global export marketplace, however, sugar may be closing in on a near-term top “if” Brazil weather returns to normal.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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