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Drop in Outside Markets Sparks Long Liquidation

COCOA

With near-term demand concerns a front-and-center issue, back-to-back disappointing quarterly grindings put the cocoa market on the defensive. Unless global risk sentiment shows clear signs of improvement, cocoa may see downside follow-through early this week. For the week, July cocoa finished with a loss of 82 points (down 3.1%) for a second negative weekly result in a row.

COFFEE

With the market continuing to find support from production issues, coffee should be able to turn higher at any time. For the week, July coffee finished with a gain of 3.40 cents (up 1.5%). This was a fourth positive weekly result over the past 5 weeks and was a positive weekly reversal from last Thursday’s 3-week low.

COTTON

July cotton closed lower again on Friday and the selling this morning has pushed the market down to the lowest level since April 12. The market was pressured by concerns about reduced demand, China’s economy, and a stronger dollar.

SUGAR

Sugar continues to be pressured by key outside markets. With bearish supply news from Asia also weighing on prices, sugar could see further weakness. Crude oil and RBOB gasoline prices finished the week on a downbeat note, which weighed on the sugar market as that could diminish near-term ethanol demand in both Brazil and India. However, sugar’s main source of pressure came from a massive 3.5% plunge in the Brazilian currency.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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