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Cocoa in Overbought Condition

COCOA

Cocoa may be in danger of a negative weekly key reversal and the market remains in an overbought condition. The steep decline in open interest suggests that short-covering is the fuel for the rally and this is not a good foundation for follow-thru to the upside.

COFFEE

While coffee has bullish Brazil supply developments to provide underlying support, that has not been enough to prevent a slide in prices. Unless there is a significant rebound in global risk sentiment, coffee could remain on the defensive.

COTTON

The market looks vulnerable to a pullback as weak economic news could be seen as a bearish demand development. The market was pressured yesterday by a strong dollar and weak commodity prices, especially crude oil.

SUGAR

Sugar continues to have bullish supply-side developments that will underpin prices. With the market now on-track for a negative weekly key reversal, however, sugar will need to see a significant turnaround in key outside markets to avoid further downside price action.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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